Welcome to the Payne Points of Wealth: The podcast that addresses all the pain points that come with creating your wealth, growing your wealth, and sustaining your wealth. Hosted by the Family Wealth Experts of Payne Capital Management, Bob, Ryan & Chris Payne. On a weekly basis, they deliver timely strategies and solutions for the pain points that come with building, preserving and managing your wealth.
Episodes
Wednesday Dec 08, 2021
Wednesday Dec 08, 2021
Wow! Black Friday 2021 saw the worst stock sell-off ever! It came after the announcement of a new COVID variant that is supposedly sweeping the globe. But here are the facts most people don’t know about the stock market on Black Friday. It’s only open half of the day and computers are running the show based on algorithms. That means what you SEE happening in the market on that day isn’t a clear indication of what’s really happening. Everybody who knows what’s going on is out shopping and dealing with their turkey hangovers instead of working. We’ve got an assessment of the situation and some clear steps for you to take at year-end to move your wealth plan forward. It’s all on this episode.
You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in...
- What are we to think of the biggest sell-off ever, this past Black Friday? [0:58]
- Coronavirus announcements have had an impact, but not in a lasting way [4:44]
- Why it’s crazy to bet against economic growth right now [6:11]
- The Tipping Point: The pro moves you can use at year-end [9:12]
- Hidden Facts of Finance [17:44]
The Black Friday sell-off was going to happen, with or without a new variant
We’re all hearing that the announcement of the new COVID variant is what caused the sell-off on Black Friday, and sure, it has some influence on what happened. But in reality, here’s what history teaches us. Earnings seasons push a bull market forward and we were due for a pull-back anyway. When people are bullish the market tends to sell-off. But something else happens when people are bullish: the market goes up. The dynamics of our current economic situation haven’t changed, Our PMI numbers are good, consumer spending is good, and the economy appears to be going just as strong as it was before Black Friday. Betting against the market in a situation like this is not a good idea. People are going to figure out a way to thrive even when bad news comes.
This week on the tipping point: End of the year wealth factors
As the end of the year approaches there are a handful of things savvy investors do to save their hard-earned cash.
- Harvest tax losses. Take profits if you are over-weighted in growth stocks. You can bank your losses against gains to save in capital gains taxes. Rebalancing your portfolio is important to do when the wind is at your back.
- Roth conversions are powerful for creating tax-free income. With 10 years of tax-free growth, you’ll break even on your money and everything that you earn on top of that goes into your pocket tax-free. Retirement accounts are a ticking time bomb. You have to pay taxes at age 72. If there’s a lot of money in those retirement accounts, that’s a lot of taxes. If you are in a low tax bracket now, pay the tax now on some of those retirement funds and put that money into a Roth to avoid higher taxes later.
- Take distributions from your retirement plan and give to the charities you care about directly from your IRA (up to $100,000). If you have appreciated stock, you can donate that to charity as well.
- If you are in a high-deductible health plan, look into health savings accounts. You can get triple tax-free benefits moving forward.
This week’s hidden facts of finance
- Dec 2nd: the 20th anniversary of the Enron bankruptcy (the largest in history at the time)
- Only half of Americans have the funds to retire at 70 and maintain living standards
- Pfizer, Inc. was founded 172 years ago (a good example why you want to diversify)
- The world’s youngest billionaire lives in Germany
Resources & People Mentioned
See if you qualify for a complimentary financial review from the Paynes
Connect With Ryan, Bob, and Chris
- http://PayneCM.com
- Follow on Twitter
- Follow on Facebook
- Follow on LinkedIn
- Subscribe on YouTube
- Follow on Instagram
Subscribe to Payne Points of Wealth
On Apple Podcasts, On Google Podcasts, On Spotify
Wednesday Dec 01, 2021
Wednesday Dec 01, 2021
To quote Led Zeppelin,”The Song Remains the Same!” This great earnings season we’ve been experiencing continues, with companies experiencing their best performance in 7 years. In addition,the status quo is likely going to continue as we see Jerome Powell renominated as the Federal Reserve Chairman. That means interest rates are likely to increase next year. And that will have an opposite impact on the bond markets.
Going into the last month of the year, what does all this mean for your investments? We’ll break it down on this episode.
And in this episode’s “Tipping Point” segment… you’ve been saving your money diligently, but what are you doing with it? We’re going to outline the things you might be doing wrong when it comes to your savings, so be sure to listen!
You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in...
- Jerome Powell is renominated: a hawk or a dove… or maybe a turkey? [1:16]
- When the supply chain is repaired, inflation is going to go down [4:01]
- Is gold really an inflation hedge? No, but there are other great options like oil [7:55]
- The Tipping Point: Mistakes investors are making with their savings [11:59]
- Hidden Facts of Finance [18:06]
Inflation is increasing while yields are low… how does that work?
The biggest math we’re seeing right now has to do with inflation. Inflation is running at 6% and yields are running at 1.7%. That can’t remain as it is. Interest rates are going to have to move higher, so we suspect there will be an increase in rates… so be careful with your bond portfolio because bond rates go down when interest rates go up. Historically, bond rates go up to keep pace with inflation but it’s trailing, so you need to be careful. In fact, Bob says the most important thing in your life as an investor is, “Don’t own a bond fund!” But that’s not the whole story… we’ve got more to say, so listen to get the full story.
This week on the tipping point: Mistakes you’re making with your savings
Most of our clients and the people we talk to are diligent about saving, but are they doing the right things WITH that hard-earned money they’re stashing away? Not always. Here are the three biggest mistakes we see…
- Many savings plans include far too much cash. It’s a big problem because of inflation.
- Speculative investments are incredibly risky. Always have been, and always will be.
- Most people are not taking advantage of the tax benefits available to them.
This week’s hidden facts of finance
- The National Retail Federation estimates a 9.5% increase in spending this Nov./Dec.
- Gold is only a reputation hedge reputationally, not statistically.
- Stocks deliver regardless of whether inflation is high or low (the real inflation hedge).
- Chinese personal wealth is leaping 77-fold to $120 Trillion.
Resources & People Mentioned
See if you qualify for a complimentary financial review from the Paynes
Connect With Ryan, Bob, and Chris
- http://PayneCM.com
- Follow on Twitter
- Follow on Facebook
- Follow on LinkedIn
- Subscribe on YouTube
- Follow on Instagram
Subscribe to Payne Points of Wealth
On Apple Podcasts, On Google Podcasts, On Spotify
Wednesday Nov 24, 2021
Wednesday Nov 24, 2021
Inflation is hitting 40 year highs and investors are aggressively jumping into the market to make up for what they’re losing. But is that the best approach? Other investors are keeping their powder dry by holding cash… but history has proven that holding cash is a losing proposition from the start. How can you hedge against inflation effectively? This episode is focused on answering that question, and not based on opinion, but on facts that have come to light through the course of history. Find out what your only real hedge against inflation is, on this episode.
You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in...
- High inflation after a 40 year bull market… is this the new normal? [1:13]
- Why stocks, equities, and dividends are the only hedge against inflation [4:26]
- Diversification is the only way to succeed in long-term investing [8:19]
- The Tipping Point: Proactively protecting yourself against bubbles popping [10:10]
- Hidden Facts of Finance [19:29]
Inflation like we’ve not seen for 40 years, and bullish investors respond
After a season of all-time market highs we’re seeing inflation spike due to a number of factors. The response from investors is that everybody seems to be getting into the market, but is that wise? As Warren Buffet has been known to say, “Be fearful when others are greedy and be greedy when others are fearful.” It could be time for investors to heed his advice. What is a good inflation hedge? Stocks, equities, and dividends, with statistics as proof that it’s the right approach. Listen to hear the facts.
This week on the tipping point: Proactively protect yourself against market bubbles
There’s only one thing in the stock market that doesn’t change: investor behavior. It’s always the case that people think they can correctly guess when stocks are going to continue to rise and when they are going to fall. That’s one of the main reasons why people become indignant any time you suggest that their favorite investment is a bubble. The insist they will get out before it crashes, but as far as we can tell, there’s still no reliable way to know when that is going to be. Everyone is afraid of missing out, so they ride those bubbles much longer than they should, fail to diversify and invest wisely, and lose a ton when the bubble pops. Boring investments are the way to go, because over time your portfolio will consistently grow when you keep your portfolio in solid, proven stocks.
This week’s hidden facts of finance
Rivian is one of the bright so-called stars in the electric vehicle industry and its market cap is an unbelievable $140 billion. It makes no sense.
Futures and options are proven ways to get burned for most investors.
The dollar compared to the S&P 500: the dollar has no leg to stand on.
Going to the mall is a thing again.
Listen to hear all the details on these topics.
Resources & People Mentioned
See if you qualify for a complimentary financial review from the Paynes
Connect With Ryan, Bob, and Chris
- http://PayneCM.com
- Follow on Twitter
- Follow on Facebook
- Follow on LinkedIn
- Subscribe on YouTube
- Follow on Instagram
Subscribe to Payne Points of Wealth
On Apple Podcasts, On Google Podcasts, On Spotify
Wednesday Nov 17, 2021
Wednesday Nov 17, 2021
What's up! It's episode 60 of Payne Points of Wealth! Hard to believe we're 60 episodes in! We've got late nineties stock market fever. Literally, everything is going up right now. We've got a huge melt-up. It's starting to look a lot like the late nineties when those internet stocks were just rocking. We're going to tell you why we think this is a lot like the late nineties. We'll hit on what you have to be careful about because there are bubbles forming, what you need to avoid in your portfolio and inflation. On the tipping point today, we're going to talk about financial sabotage. What are you doing right now that's sabotaging your path to financial independence.
You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in...
- Never seen a market like this [1:43]
- As good as it gets [5:25]
- The Tipping Point [9:50]
- Don’t allow your risk tolerance to fluctuate with how well your portfolio performs [12:11]
- Greed takes over fear [15:15]
- Hidden Facts of Finance [19:29]
Could it get any better for the economy?
Profits are extremely strong right now. Look at the third-quarter earnings, it's just been through the roof. Next quarter’s earnings are going to be good again too. We've got a hiring frenzy going on. Unemployment's coming down precipitously. We have all these people that have come off unemployment benefits getting back in the workforce and wages are going up. What's better than that. You're getting a raise at work, you have more money to spend and the fed isn't raising rates anytime soon, they're going to keep the party going. This is probably as good as it gets when it comes to the outlook for the economy.
This week on the tipping point: Financial sabotage
One thing that we've found managing all the accounts that we manage is a lot of times people put themselves in a position of financial sabotage. They make decisions that hurt them on their path to financial independence. So in this episode, we talk about some of the things that we find that people do that you need to avoid so you don't sabotage your financial life.
Don’t stalk your portfolio. Investing is hard, it's counterintuitive, when there's good news sometimes the market sells off. If there's bad news, the market goes up. It doesn't seem to make sense. If you're watching every day, checking your portfolio balance every day, it's a recipe for disaster. I can't tell you how many short-term focus investors have failed in the long run because they couldn't handle the pressure.
Don’t allow your risk tolerance to fluctuate with how well your portfolio performs. The whole idea of diversification is that you're going to have something that's not working. If everything's working at the same time, then everything will also be NOT working at the same time.
This week’s hidden facts of finance
Cryptocurrency, an asset class (if we want to call it that) younger than the iPhone is closing in on $3 trillion in market cap. That’s equal to about a quarter of the world's mined gold or the entire money supply of the United Kingdom. That's insane.
The resulting labor crunch has boosted wages and emboldened workers to fight for a better deal. Work stoppages in 2021 have already surpassed last year's 10 and it may be the start of a trend reversal. Work stoppages numbered 145 in 1981 dropping to 5 in 2009, it looks like unions could be back.
Resources & People Mentioned
See if you qualify for a complimentary financial review from the Paynes
Connect With Ryan, Bob, and Chris
- http://PayneCM.com
- Follow on Twitter
- Follow on Facebook
- Follow on LinkedIn
- Subscribe on YouTube
- Follow on Instagram
Subscribe to Payne Points of Wealth
On Apple Podcasts, On Google Podcasts, On Spotify
Wednesday Nov 10, 2021
Wednesday Nov 10, 2021
What's up? It's episode 59 of Payne Points of Wealth and supply chains around the world are easing up. COVID cases globally are going down and profits are at an all-time record high as stock markets around the world are hitting all-time record highs. The question is, is it all going to fall off a cliff? Is this all too good to be true or is the economy going to continue chugging along? We'll look at some long-term tailwinds that could keep this economy moving into the roaring twenties along with your financial independence plan. We're also going to talk about those specific variables that you need to address in your financial life to make sure you're financially sound. You don't want to miss it.
You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in...
- A rockin’ market! [1:11]
- Everybody is doing well [3:36]
- Tailwinds for the economy [6:43]
- Don’t confuse brains in a bull market [9:03]
- The Tipping Point [11:07]
- Having a tax-efficient portfolio [13:21]
- How long do you expect to live? [16:11]
- How lucky do you feel? [18:19]
- Hidden Facts of Finance [21:23]
Economic tailwinds
There’s all this talk about how we're going to have a big burst of spending coming out of the pandemic and then it's just going to cool off again. Well, millennials are 25% of the population and are essentially going into their peak spending and earning years. Historically, the ages 45-55 tend to be when you spend the most money. You have household formation, kids, and more big-ticket items that you're buying. With the largest cohort of any population in America going right into that, it’s like the baby boomers back in the 80s', it’s going to lead to a lot of spending. Then you have this huge infrastructure bill coming down the line and when that passes that will be even more spending. Top all that off with the massive amount of inventories businesses are trying to build back up...doesn’t sound like a slowdown is anywhere in the near future.
This week on the tipping point: Customizable variables
When it comes to building financial plans for the families we manage here at PCM everyone's situation is a little bit different. So in this episode, we discussed some of the variables you need to customize for your unique plan.
When it comes to financial planning and your portfolio, sometimes we become more enamored with the value of the portfolio. Especially with our 360 portal where you can see how much you're worth. It's kind of fun as the market goes up to check and see how you did each day, week, or month—but it's not just about appreciation—you've got to have the income.
How much does your principal generate in income after taxes and inflation? It's so important to sit down with your advisor every year and look at what's important to you. What are your variables? What do you want to accomplish this year? Do you want to take a big trip? Do you want to give money to your grandchildren's education plans? Backing into those numbers is the most important thing to figure out how much income you're gonna need. Listen to the episode to find out which variables you should address.
This week’s hidden facts of finance
In the most recent quarter, Spain added 5.6 percentage points to its headline growth. French household spending jumped a whopping 21.5% annualized contributing to 10.5 percentage points to their growth rate. In fact, third-quarter growth results for the entire Eurozone outpaced the good old USA, well maybe not outpace as much as they're finally catching up because they're now playing out of the same playbook. They realize they've got to open their economies. It's not the end of the world. Spain, France, England, Germany, are all full of ordinary people, just like our country, and they want to get out and spend again. They want to live life! Europe is booming. The global economy is booming. We're seeing stocks go up all over the world so make sure you don't have all your money just in the S&P 500 because there are plenty of opportunities outside the US. Go global!
Resources & People Mentioned
See if you qualify for a complimentary financial review from the Paynes
Connect With Ryan, Bob, and Chris
- http://PayneCM.com
- Follow on Twitter
- Follow on Facebook
- Follow on LinkedIn
- Subscribe on YouTube
- Follow on Instagram
Subscribe to Payne Points of Wealth
On Apple Podcasts, On Google Podcasts, On Spotify
Wednesday Nov 03, 2021
Wednesday Nov 03, 2021
What's up it's episode 58 pain points of wealth and profits this earnings season are phenomenal! Companies are beating estimates by a landslide. It doesn't matter that supply chain issues or labor costs are going up. It's all inflationary. But guess what? These companies just keep raising prices on you and me, which is making their profits go through the roof. So what does this mean between now and the end of the year? As the market continues to go higher are we going to finally get that correction in stocks that big sell-off that Wall Street has been telling us about? We're going to give you our vantage point, exactly what you should be doing strategically between now and the end of the year. On the tipping point today we're going to drop some wisdom on you. When it comes to your financial independence plan, we're going to give you some insights that you can apply to your portfolio, your financial plan, to get you on track, to be financially independent.
You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in...
- When’s the big drop coming? [1:24]
- Pipeline conspiracies? [3:41]
- The faults in being priced to perfection [6:49]
- The Tipping Point [10:39]
- Crisis is opportunity riding on a dangerous wind [11:15]
- A feather in the hand is better than a bird in the air [13:05]
- Accept something you cannot change and you'll feel better [14:43]
- A foolish man listens to his heart [16:33]
- Don't let statistics do a number on you [17:26]
- Hidden Facts of Finance [20:14]
Pipeline conspiracies?
It's amazing how the world changes, all of a sudden, how do we not have enough oil supply? The world's been awash in oil then all of a sudden it’s not?. I love a good conspiracy, and a lot of people are saying, or the “experts” are saying that the Biden administration is limiting production. I have a different theory on this. Perhaps there's just worldwide collusion going on. All the big energy companies are saying "You know what? We make a lot more money when oil is over $80 a barrel. Let’s just chill out on the production side of things. We will slow down on producing oil right now because when the price is at $30, that's terrible for profits." So I suspect there is big manipulation going on and I think it's all of these global oil companies who are very happy to slow down the production and keep those prices up!
This week on the tipping point: Financial Fortune Cookies
When you go to the Chinese restaurant nothing's better than getting that fortune cookie at the end and reading the wisdom within. Let’s open up your fortune cookie and apply it to your financial life and goals to be financially independent because there’s nothing funnier than getting a fortune cookie to help you run your portfolio!
Crisis is opportunity riding on a dangerous wind. Sounds great but it reminds me of what Warren Buffet says, it is wise for investors to be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful. We're emotional human beings. It's so easy to panic when prices are going down or when you have that fear of missing out and overload your portfolio on what's going up the most.
A feather in the hand is better than a bird in the air. I think the point is it's better to protect what you have than trying to reach for the stars and putting everything that you have at risk.
Accept something you cannot change and you'll feel better. I think right now is a perfect example of that. We have so much uncertainty about our taxes going up. Are they going to pass another $2 trillion in stimulus? Is the dollar going to be worthless in a couple of years? Is inflation just going to destroy our purchasing power? Is the dollar going to be so weak that we can't afford anything? The list goes on and on.
A foolish man listens to his heart. Don't use your gut feelings when it comes to investing. It's never right.
This week’s hidden facts of finance
Home prices are up a record 19.5% in the past year, according to Case Shiller data. However, home prices were removed from the official prices index, owing to political and statistical issues. If they were still included, inflation would be running at a 10% clip rivaling the early 80s'. It just goes to show you real estate is really inflated right now. Inflation is real and not transitory and if you've been listening to the Payne Points of Wealth Podcast you have known that for a year!
Resources & People Mentioned
See if you qualify for a complimentary financial review from the Paynes
Connect With Ryan, Bob, and Chris
- http://PayneCM.com
- Follow on Twitter
- Follow on Facebook
- Follow on LinkedIn
- Subscribe on YouTube
- Follow on Instagram
Subscribe to Payne Points of Wealth
On Apple Podcasts, On Google Podcasts, On Spotify
Wednesday Oct 27, 2021
Wednesday Oct 27, 2021
What's up! It's episode 57 of Payne Points of Wealth and the all-asset melt-up is upon us! Everything is going up right now. Oil prices are surging to all-time record highs every single day. Bitcoin, all-time record highs. Stocks, all-time record highs. What should you be doing right now? Is this a big bubble? Can it continue? We're gonna break down exactly what's going on in the market. We're also going to talk about your financial independence. Do you have a date when you want to be financially free or retired? We're going to show you exactly how to pick that date, how to build that plan, and get you on track for your financial independence plan.
You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in...
- Bad, bad, bad...BS! [1:05]
- Economics 101 [3:44]
- Bitcoin confusion [4:58]
- Stocks are backed by real assets [7:44]
- The Tipping Point [9:40]
- Pick a date vs picking an amount [11:06]
- It's not just accumulating wealth, it's investing that wealth properly [13:26]
- Following emotional market whims [16:09]
- Hidden Facts of Finance [19:58]
Do you want to be punished at the pump or in your portfolio?
A year, year and a half ago, we had a -$37 a barrel print on oil. Why? There was no demand! The economy was shut down globally because of the pandemic. Nobody needed oil. It was sitting out in tankers in the ocean with nowhere to go. Now it's $85 a barrel. Why? Because demand is strong. The economy's booming, not just here but globally. When the economy does well, oil usage goes up. When you have supply and demand the price goes up. Guess what goes up with oil? The stock market. You want oil to go up, not because you want to spend a lot of money at the gas pump, but because you want to see your portfolio go up. So let's go oil higher, higher, higher!
This week on the tipping point: When is it safe to live off of your portfolio?
Let's talk about retirement. In this day and age, it's different. If you love what you do, you'll never work a day in your life as somebody once said. We think it's more important to think about financial independence and having a big pile of go-to-hell money, where you can decide to do what you want to do every day. A lot of times we talk about wanting to have X amount of money at a certain date. Whether it's a million dollars or 3 million, whatever that arbitrary number is.
It's more important to pick that date because for everybody that pile of money will be different. Maybe you have a pension, or social security coming in, what if you have an inheritance, so it really just depends on you specifically. So first you've got to decide l when is that gonna be? Is that five years from now, 10 years from now? If you're a millennial, maybe you want to take a break from working for a couple of years to travel and then go back to work. We have to solve for all of these problems, but you have to begin with the end in mind and that's picking that date before you think about the pile of cash.
This week’s hidden facts of finance
When Robinhood last reported quarterly earnings, the trading platform said it had 22.5 million funded accounts. The vast majority of those are considered active. Up 130% from a year earlier, that's a lot of people getting into the stock market. A lot of people are investing in the stock market for the first time and like everyone who starts out as a newbie investor usually they pick some very speculative ideas and end up losing money. So Robinhood is probably pretty appropriately named, taking money from the poor and giving to the rich wall street executives who don't care about you. At some point, they'll learn and give us a call.
Resources & People Mentioned
See if you qualify for a complimentary financial review from the Paynes
Connect With Ryan, Bob, and Chris
- http://PayneCM.com
- Follow on Twitter
- Follow on Facebook
- Follow on LinkedIn
- Subscribe on YouTube
- Follow on Instagram
Subscribe to Payne Points of Wealth
On Apple Podcasts, On Google Podcasts, On Spotify
Wednesday Oct 20, 2021
Wednesday Oct 20, 2021
What's up! It's episode 56 of Payne Points of Wealth and earning season is upon us. For all intents and purposes, it should be a blowout again this quarter, company's profits should be through the roof. We have the banks reporting this week so far, JP Morgan's reported, BlackRock blew out the estimates. These are all good omens, but funny enough, investors are extremely bearish right now with plenty of cash on the sidelines, waiting for a correction. We're gonna address that today. We're gonna tell you what you should be doing with your money. How to play the next move in the market, how they'll play the rest of the year as inflation continues to kick in. Oil, it's over $80 a barrel! At a seven-year high! Folks. Inflation. Is. Real! It's here. We've been telling you about it. We're gonna talk about that. On the Tipping Point today we're going to talk about maybe you've done a great job saving for your financial independence plan, but what are you missing right now that you need to add into your plan to make sure that you're completely financially free. We're gonna break it down.
You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in...
- Everybody’s worried about…? [1:31]
- Is a melt-up coming? [3:07]
- A great example of how markets work [6:07]
- The Tipping Point [10:14]
- Too much risk is still risky[12:36]
- The ticking tax timebomb [15:56]
- It’s ok to live a little [17:22]
- Hidden Facts of Finance [19:57]
A real-life example of how the markets work
Here's a great example of how markets work. If you look at what we call the rotation trade—when growth stocks suddenly stop leading the market and value stocks pick up—all of a sudden financials, energy, these stocks are doing better. If you go back 12 months, you’d see that's when that transition started to happen. Long before anybody recognized it. Long before any advisors or strategists or economists called it. If you look back at the trailing 12-month numbers, energy is up almost 100% versus growth up just 20%. It's amazing how the markets are able to see these things months to a year ahead of time.
This week on the tipping point: Covering your bases
We've found that a lot of you that come to see us have done such a great job on the savings front. You've done a great job with your budget, you have minimal debt, you've learned to save, and you've built up a nice net worth. What we have found is that you don't always have all your bases covered. So, we thought we would talk about some of the problems you face, even if you're a diligent saver or if you have a sizable net worth at this point, that's getting you closer to that financial independence.
Number one on the list is having too much in cash!
When you're saving money, a lot of us think about saving money in cash. The problem with that is it's getting less than zero. If you think about your savings in terms of super savings, you want that money to work for you. Sitting in cash is like having a lot of employees that you pay, but none of them work. Check out the episode to hear what other bases you should be covering!
This week’s hidden facts of finance
This month the energy department released a study that says as much as 40% of US electricity could be produced by solar in 2035, 45% by 2050, but today solar only provides about 4% of overall energy. That's a gigantic leap, right? Renewables are the way of the future, but they're coming a lot later than everybody thinks.
Today it costs more than a penny to make a penny. According to the US Mint, it costs them roughly 1.70 cents per coin.
Warren Buffet, considered the world's most successful investor, made 99.6% of his 87.5 billion fortune after the age of 52. as much as 72 billion of his wealth came after he turned 65. He started investing at the tenure age of 11 and paid his first taxes at age of 13.
Resources & People Mentioned
See if you qualify for a complimentary financial review from the Paynes
Connect With Ryan, Bob, and Chris
- http://PayneCM.com
- Follow on Twitter
- Follow on Facebook
- Follow on LinkedIn
- Subscribe on YouTube
- Follow on Instagram
Subscribe to Payne Points of Wealth
On Apple Podcasts, On Google Podcasts, On Spotify
Wednesday Oct 13, 2021
Wednesday Oct 13, 2021
Welcome back! It's episode 55 of Payne Points of Wealth and inflationary pressure is mounting. We've literally had the 10-year treasury up above 1.5% as central banks around the world are starting to indicate that they're going to start to taper and potentially raise interest rates sometime next year. In addition to that, we've got oil prices surging around the world right now, a natural gas shortage in Europe, and costs are going up because oil literally runs everything. So what do you make of the current economic environment? Meanwhile, we still have fighting on Capitol Hill as they're looking to spend trillions and raise taxes. It's a tumultuous time but we're going to give you the game plan you need right now to succeed. On the Tipping Point today we'll talk about how your financial independence plan is like having a great flight plan to make sure you can create the most secure financial situation for yourself. Don’t miss it!
You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in...
- Where are the corrections happening? [1:27]
- Mutating economy [4:26]
- Where the economists always get it wrong [6:53]
- The Tipping Point [10:30]
- Being prepared for turbulence [15:40]
- Hidden Facts of Finance [21:12]
A mutating economy bodes well for those in the ‘stuff’ making industry
We talk about the fear of this virus mutating. Well, we mutate. The economy, the global economy, it all mutates. We've changed how we do things and the economies are booming as a result of mutating away from the way things used to be done. Now, there are some near-term problems like supply chain disruptions. But if you're making stuff right now, if you have stuff in your inventory, you can charge whatever you want for it. What a great place to be. Those in the stuff manufacturing business aren’t sitting at home twiddling their thumbs, they’re working 24/7 to get more stuff produced and manufactured so they can sell it!
Meanwhile, all this has inflationary implications, but nothing like we had in the 70s’. We're going to have higher inflation, it will be a little stickier, but we will probably end up at 2.5-3%, nothing to be afraid of, but something you have got to hedge your portfolio for.
This week on the tipping point: Financial flight plans
Like anything in life, it's important to have a plan, especially when you're flying, you have to have a flight plan. Your flight plan will be dictated by what the weather's like, the winds, how many passengers you have, how much fuel you have to take. It's important before you take off to have a good idea of not only where you're going but how you intend to get there. That same principle applies to your investment portfolio. It's not about making the most money, it’s about getting to your destination as safely as possible.
The other thing about a flight plan is you're going to have turbulence along the way that comes out of the blue. That's what happens with the markets, like the pandemic, no one could have predicted it. It came out of the blue, the drop in the markets came out of nowhere. It's not how you react in the moment, it's about having that proactive plan ahead of time. You have to be prepared for turbulence in your portfolio. Most of you aren’t and you don’t even realize it. If the world falls apart tomorrow, you're not protected. That's why we always take your portfolio through that stress test.
Is your portfolio built and designed to get through that turbulence?
This week’s hidden facts of finance
The total value of US stocks is now over $51 trillion, a $16 trillion dollar rise from pre-pandemic values. To put that $16 trillion advance into perspective—it took over 200 years from the founding of the earliest US stock exchange in 1790 to the 2007-09 financial crisis for the stock market to create its first $16 trillion in value. Wow! So that's an amazing amount of money in the course of a very short period of time, during a pandemic and a global shutdown to boot! If there's any doubt as to where you should be investing your money, with a $16 trillion increase in just 18 months, sounds like the stock market is the place to be.
Resources & People Mentioned
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Thursday Oct 07, 2021
Thursday Oct 07, 2021
It's episode 54 of Payne Points of Wealth and the FED finally admitted it! Inflation is not as transitory as they initially thought—as we've been telling on this podcast, week after week. Interest rates moved 20% last week and we're starting to see the bond market move...in the wrong direction! Supply chains around America are a mess right now! You can't hire enough truckers. You can't hire enough people to work at the ports. We're seeing a domino effect and huge delays on all products and services as they move slowly across the country. What does this mean for you? What does this mean for your portfolio? We're going to give you our view of exactly what's happening in the economy right now and what you need to be doing strategically. Money's moving out of tech stocks and into those old-school cyclical stocks that we love. In addition to that on the Tipping Point today, we're going to talk about your financial advisor. Are they really, really nice, but they don't give you good advice? We're going to tell you exactly how to handle that.
You will want to hear this episode if you are interested in...
- Supply chain problems causing trouble [1:32]
- Not just inflation on products [4:41]
- Shifting dynamics [7:49]
- The Tipping Point [10:54]
- Not having a full picture [13:02]
- Breaking things down so it’s understandable to you [15:41]
- Hidden Facts of Finance [21:37]
What’s wreaking havoc on the economy but not the market?
Companies can't find enough workers, even if the ports were open 24/7, there's not enough people to man them, there are ships sitting for weeks waiting to unload their cargo. When one part of the supply chain gets messed up, maybe a truck doesn't show up for a shipment on time, it just affects everything! It's just wreaking havoc on the entire economy right now. Inventory is running low, semiconductors are backlogged, steel and lumber are going up like crazy. People are building everywhere. Who knows what people will fill these homes with, maybe beach chairs and sleeping bags because you can't get any furniture or appliances.
With all of this going on, the market doesn't seem to care because here's the thing about the market... the market looks forward! All of this is priced in already. We are getting a little bit of corrective action, but that's primarily because the FED didn't say transitory last week, which means they are starting to believe—like we've been telling you—that inflation is going up. So interest rates are going up and hopefully, all of you listened because those bond funds are dropping like rocks! You have to get into fixed income, not bond funds.
This week on the tipping point: Nice advisors with bad service
Do you have a nice advisor who isn’t doing such a nice job? People are hesitant to make a switch for a variety of reasons. It seems easier to stay with someone because you have already made a time investment there, or they have handled so-and-so’s finance for years so they must be doing something right, or you’ve already moved from one bad advisor to this new bad advisor and it just seems like they are all the same so why bother.
We are here to tell you there are good advisors!
Good advisors are going to break things down into a simple way for you to understand it. Everything we're doing here is not rocket science, if it feels like rocket science, you've got a problem. Not only should you be able to understand what's in your portfolio, you should also understand how it relates to you and the goals that you're trying to achieve. Don't go with an advisor where you get mystery investments. Check out the segment for more on what a good advisor looks like!
This week’s hidden facts of finance
There are 13 US corporate tax hikes on record going back to 1925, and in the ensuing 12 months, the S&P rose 9 times averaging 11.1%. On the personal income side, Congress has hiked the top bracket 14 times and the S&P rose in the next 12 months after 10 of them averaging a whopping 16.8%. Sounds like raising taxes is actually good for the market. Who would have thought?
One of the biggest fears that clients have right now is that a tax hike is going to have a negative impact on the market but based on these statistics it sounds like that's probably not going to be the reality. I think the bottom line is a bull market is going to be a bull market, regardless of short-term moves and taxes. As we've said, we know money's got to go somewhere, better be bullish than to be foolish!
Resources & People Mentioned
See if you qualify for a complimentary financial review from the Paynes
Connect With Ryan, Bob, and Chris
- http://PayneCM.com
- Follow on Twitter
- Follow on Facebook
- Follow on LinkedIn
- Subscribe on YouTube
- Follow on Instagram
Subscribe to Payne Points of Wealth
On Apple Podcasts, On Google Podcasts, On Spotify